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SMU SOE Seminar (May 30, 2019, 2-3.30pm): International Trade and Job Polarization: Evidence at the Worker Level
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TOPIC:
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INTERNATIONAL TRADE AND JOB POLARIZATION: EVIDENCE AT THE WORKER LEVEL
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ABSTRACT
This paper examines the role of international trade for job polarization, the phenomenon in which employment for high- and low-wage occupations increases but mid-wage occupations decline. With employer-employee matched data on virtually all workers and firms in Denmark between 1999 and 2009, we use instrumental-variables techniques and a quasi-natural experiment to show that import competition is a major cause of job polarization. Import competition with China accounts for about 17% of the aggregate decline in mid-wage employment. Many mid-skill workers are pushed into low-wage service jobs while others move into high-wage jobs. The direction of movement, up or down, turns on the skill focus of workers’ education. Workers with vocational training for a service occupation can avoid moving into low-wage service jobs, and among them workers with information-technology education are far more likely to move into high-wage jobs than other workers.
Click here to view the paper.
Click here to view the CV.
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PRESENTER
Wolfgang Keller
University of Colorado Boulder
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RESEARCH FIELDS
International Trade and Investment
Economic Development
Technological Change
Productivity
Economic History
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DATE:
30 May 2019 (Thursday)
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TIME:
2pm - 3.30pm
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VENUE:
Meeting Room 5.1, Level 5
School of Economics
Singapore Management University
90 Stamford Road
Singapore 178903
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