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TOPIC:
WHEN DO COMMON TIME SERIES ESTIMANDS HAVE NONPARAMETRIC CAUSAL MEANING?
ABSTRACT
The nonparametric potential outcome system provides a foundational framework for giving conditions under which common predictive time series statistical estimands, such as the impulse response function, generalized impulse response function, local projection and local projection instrument variables, have a nonparametric causal interpretation in terms of dynamic causal effects.