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SMU SOE Seminar (Nov 15, 2019, 2-3.30pm): Elites and Ideology: How Imperial China was Lost

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TOPIC:  

ELITES AND IDEOLOGY: HOW IMPERIAL CHINA WAS LOST

 

Despite economic progress, revolutions remain integral to human civilization and social order. In the context of the 1911 Chinese Revolution which ended the 2,000-year-long imperial rule, we find that the traditional elites – especially those who held political power as provincial assemblymen – facilitated revolutionary success to achieve independence from the Qing state; the likelihood of a prefecture achieving independence increases by 88.82% for a 1% increase in the number of traditional elites. But ideology also mattered. Those who were thoroughly exposed to revolutionary ideologies – the liberal elites – paved the way to independence by catalyzing uprisings. A 1% increase in the number of liberal elites in a prefecture will lead to an increase of uprisings by 53.34%. While revolutionary ideas predisposed radicalism on the whole, like the traditional elites, those liberal elites who were highly educated preferred a peaceful transition, suggesting that human capital can moderate the impact of ideology and contribute importantly to social stability. In contrast to received wisdom, the masses did not play as significant a role as the elites did in the 1911 Revolution, even though they were engrossed in the series of conflicts launched against the Qing beforehand.
 
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James Kung

University of Hong Kong
 
Economic History
Political Economy
Development Economics
China
 

15 November 2019 (Friday)

 

2pm - 3.30pm

 

Meeting Room 5.1, Level 5
School of Economics
Singapore Management University
90 Stamford Road
Singapore 178903